Buyer's Market or Seller's Market? Why the Answer Depends on Where You Are in Southern California If you have followed real estate headlines lately, you have probably seen some version of the
Dated: May 26 2026
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If you’ve always assumed a newly built home is just not in your budget, you should know the math just got a little friendlier.
The median sale price of a newly built home is now at its lowest level since 2021, according to the latest data from the Census. And on top of that, builders are still rolling out incentives to bring buyers through the door.
Here's what's happening, and what it means if you're shopping right now.
After a steep climb during the pandemic years, prices have eased a bit. The median sale price of newly built homes is sitting at about $390,000. That’s the lowest it's been in nearly five years (see graph below):
While local markets vary, the national trend is moving in your favor, especially if you’re a first-time buyer. According to Zonda, prices in the entry-level price range have dropped roughly 2.7% over the past 12 months – more than any other price tier.
That doesn't mean every home in every market is suddenly affordable. But it does mean that, broadly, you’ll see the best prices on new builds since 2021, if you’re buying now.
And just in case you’re thinking it, lower prices don't mean the new home market is in trouble. Builders today are being intentional about how much inventory they have, so it doesn't pile up the way it did in 2008.
If you look back up at the graph, you’ll see that even after the recent improvement in new home prices, they’re still higher than pre-pandemic norms. So, this isn’t a crash. It’s a builder strategy to keep inventory moving.
Lower sticker prices aren't the only break buyers are getting. According to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), 60% of builders are currently offering some form of incentive to attract buyers. Those typically include:
That last point catches a lot of buyers off guard – most assume that builders won’t budge on price.
But builders need to move what they've built. That's a different mindset than a homeowner deciding whether to budge on price. So, you may find they’re more open to adjusting the price than you’d think. As Joel Berner, Senior Economist at Realtor.com, puts it:
". . . many existing-home sellers resort to taking down their listing instead of taking less than their desired price, but builders are more motivated to sell their inventory than owner-occupants . . ."
And if you use the version of the graph that shows 2008 prices, you can even reference that in this explainer.
And if here, should I change the last sentence of the lede?
Builder incentives and lower new home prices are working to your advantage in a way they haven't in years. Want to see what's available in your area and what kind of deal a builder may be willing to make? Let's connect.
Larry entered the world of Real estate and worked alongside a longtime industry leader. Larry now heads up The Fleischman & Associates Team. Larry is a long time resident of Santa Clarita where he cal....
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